Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.180956 0.202933 0.225877 0.251563 0.279460 0.308783 0.341880
2025-02-09 0.151612 0.181472 0.214175 0.252460 0.295852 0.343309 0.398935
2025-02-16 0.131955 0.167150 0.207312 0.256121 0.313406 0.378079 0.456163
2025-02-23 0.119468 0.159102 0.205978 0.264799 0.335886 0.418265 0.520143
2025-03-02 0.104176 0.145756 0.196681 0.262567 0.344413 0.441583 0.564416
2025-03-09 0.092647 0.135730 0.190222 0.262703 0.354977 0.466881 0.611059
2025-03-16 0.082331 0.126123 0.183250 0.261251 0.362844 0.488479 0.653173
2025-03-23 0.076154 0.121385 0.182015 0.266699 0.379171 0.520578 0.708653
2025-03-30 0.068918 0.114427 0.177142 0.266756 0.388103 0.543164 0.752327
2025-04-06 0.062462 0.107944 0.172332 0.266366 0.396055 0.564315 0.794280
2025-04-13 0.056761 0.102024 0.167801 0.265898 0.403564 0.584746 0.835420
2025-04-20 0.052461 0.097834 0.165392 0.268097 0.414522 0.609725 0.882763
2025-04-27 0.049840 0.096239 0.166916 0.276291 0.434500 0.647895 0.949342
2025-05-04 0.045705 0.091805 0.163845 0.277550 0.444660 0.672954 0.998917
2025-05-11 0.042636 0.088854 0.162807 0.281653 0.458852 0.703718 1.056696
2025-05-18 0.041009 0.088220 0.165303 0.291084 0.480898 0.745710 1.130472
2025-05-25 0.037081 0.083135 0.160317 0.288732 0.485501 0.763325 1.170997
2025-06-01 0.034026 0.079326 0.157121 0.288905 0.493681 0.785977 1.218732
2025-06-08 0.030949 0.075157 0.153016 0.287357 0.499080 0.804618 1.261033
2025-06-15 0.029404 0.073794 0.153569 0.293229 0.515794 0.839730 1.326990
2025-06-22 0.027052 0.070583 0.150683 0.293296 0.523484 0.861799 1.374709
2025-06-29 0.024833 0.067406 0.147630 0.292878 0.530295 0.882589 1.420813
2025-07-06 0.022795 0.064387 0.144644 0.292375 0.536849 0.903006 1.466586